Professor Paul Blackwell

School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences

Professor

p.blackwell@sheffield.ac.uk
+44 114 222 3719

Full contact details

Professor Paul Blackwell
School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences
I7
Hicks Building
Hounsfield Road
葫芦影业
S3 7RH
Profile

Prof Blackwell graduated with a BSc in Mathematics from Warwick University (1984). He has worked on forest growth models in the Statistics and Computing Department of the Forestry Commission Research Branch, and he obtained a PhD (1990) from Nottingham University. His main research interests are in Bayesian statistics, inference for stochastic processes, statistical ecology, and other applications including environmental statistics.

Research interests

I mainly work in Bayesian statistics; I am interested in the development of new models and methodology, particularly inference for random processes, driven by real applications which are primarily in ecology but also in environmental science, archaeology and other areas. I am also interested in stochastic modelling, statistics and simulation more generally, again often with ecological and environmental applications.

Publications

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All publications

Journal articles

  • Rautiainen H, Alam M, Blackwell PG & Skarin A (2022) . Movement Ecology, 10(1). RIS download Bibtex download
  • Bannister HJ, Blackwell PG, Hyder K & Webb TJ (2021) . Scientific Reports, 11(1). RIS download Bibtex download
  • Tishkovskaya S & Blackwell P (2021) . Environmetrics. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Spence MA, Thorpe RB, Blackwell PG, Scott F, Southwell R & Blanchard JL (2021) . Fish and Fisheries. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Niu M, Frost F, Milner JE, Skarin A & Blackwell PG (2020) . Biometrics. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Bronk Ramsey C, Heaton T, Blaauw M, Blackwell P, Reimer P & Scott M (2020) . RIS download Bibtex download
  • Bronk Ramsey C, Heaton T, Blaauw M, Blackwell P, Reimer P, Reimer R & Scott M (2020) . RIS download Bibtex download
  • Pope CA, Gosling JP, Barber S, Johnson JS, Yamaguchi T, Feingold G & Blackwell PG (2019) . Technometrics. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Michelot T, Gloaguen P, Blackwell PG & 脡tienne M (2019) . Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 10(11), 1894-1907. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Michelot T, Blackwell PG, Chamaill茅鈥怞ammes S & Matthiopoulos J (2019) . Biometrics. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Wang Y, Blackwell PG, Merkle JA & Potts JR (2019) . Methods in Ecology and Evolution. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Adam T, Griffiths CA, Leos-Barajas V, Meese EN, Lowe CG, Blackwell PG, Righton D & Langrock R (2019) . Methods in Ecology and Evolution. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Michelot T & Blackwell PG (2019) . Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 10(5), 637-649. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Michelot T, Blackwell PG & Matthiopoulos J (2019) . Ecology, 100(1). RIS download Bibtex download
  • Spence MA, Blanchard JL, Rossberg AG, Heath MR, Heymans JJ, Mackinson S, Serpetti N, Speirs DC, Thorpe RB & Blackwell PG (2018) . Fish and Fisheries. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Griffiths CA, Patterson TA, Blanchard J, Righton DA, Wright SR, Pitchford JW & Blackwell PG (2018) . Ecology and Evolution, 8(14), 7031-7043. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Hock K, Wolff NH, Ortiz JC, Condie SA, Anthony KRN, Blackwell PG & Mumby PJ (2017) . PLoS Biology, 15(11). RIS download Bibtex download
  • Parton A & Blackwell PG (2017) . Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, 22(3), 373-392. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Patterson TA, Parton A, Langrock R, Blackwell PG, Thomas L & King R (2017) . AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis. RIS download Bibtex download
  • (2017) . Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 8(7), 898-898. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Spence MA & Blackwell PG (2016) . Statistics and Computing, 26(6), 1137-1146. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Niu M, Blackwell PG & Skarin A (2016) . Biometrics, 72(2), 345-324. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Spence MA, Blackwell PG & Blanchard JL (2016) . Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 73(4), 589-597. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Blackwell PG, Niu M, Lambert MS & LaPoint SD (2016) . Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 7(2), 184-195. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Hyder K, Rossberg AG, Allen JI, Austen MC, Barciela RM, Bannister HJ, Blackwell PG, Blanchard JL, Burrows MT, Defriez E , Dorrington T et al (2015) . Marine Policy, 61, 291-302. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Jensen BJL, Pyne-O鈥橠onnell S, Plunkett G, Froese DG, Hughes PDM, Sigl M, McConnell JR, Amesbury MJ, Blackwell PG, van den Bogaard C , Buck CE et al (2014) . Geology, 42(10), 875-878. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Langrock R, Hopcraft JGC, Blackwell PG, Goodall V, King R, Niu M, Patterson TA, Pedersen MW, Skarin A & Schick RS (2014) . Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 5(2), 190-199. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Wheatley JJ, Blackwell PG, Abram NJ & Wolff EW (2014) . Springer Proceedings in Mathematics and Statistics, 63, 121-125. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Harris KJ & Blackwell PG (2013) . Ecological Modelling, 255, 29-37. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Reimer PJ, Bard E, Bayliss A, Beck JW, Blackwell PG, Ramsey CB, Brown DM, Buck CE, Edwards RL, Friedrich M , Grootes PM et al (2013) . RADIOCARBON, 55(4), 1923-1945. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Niu M, Heaton TJ, Blackwell PG & Buck CE (2013) . Radiocarbon, 55(4), 1905-1922. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Reimer PJ, Bard E, Bayliss A, Beck JW, Blackwell PG, Bronk Ramsey C, Buck CE, Cheng H, Edwards RL, Friedrich M , Grootes PM et al (2013) . Radiocarbon, 55(4), 1869-1887. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Hogg AG, Hua Q, Blackwell PG, Niu M, Buck CE, Guilderson TP, Heaton TJ, Palmer JG, Reimer PJ, Reimer RW , Turney CSM et al (2013) . Radiocarbon, 55(4), 1889-1903. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Wheatley JJ, Blackwell PG, Abram NJ, McConnell JR, Thomas ER & Wolff EW (2012) . Climate of the Past, 8(6), 1869-1879. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Klauenberg K, Blackwell PG, Buck CE, Mulvaney R, R枚thlisberger R & Wolff EW (2011) Bayesian Glaciological Modelling to quantify uncertainties in ice core chronologies. Quaternary Science Reviews. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Klauenberg K, Blackwell PG, Buck CE, Mulvaney R, R枚thlisberger R & Wolff EW (2011) . Quaternary Science Reviews, 30(21-22), 2961-2975. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Heaton TJ, Blackwell PG & Buck CE (2009) A BAYESIAN APPROACH TO THE ESTIMATION OF RADIOCARBON CALIBRATION CURVES: THE INTCAL09 METHODOLOGY. RADIOCARBON, 51(4), 1151-1164. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Reimer PJ, Baillie MGL, Bard E, Bayliss A, Beck JW, Blackwell PG, Ramsey CB, Buck CE, Burr GS, Edwards RL , Friedrich M et al (2009) INTCAL09 AND MARINE09 RADIOCARBON AGE CALIBRATION CURVES, 0-50,000 YEARS CAL BP. RADIOCARBON, 51(4), 1111-1150. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Blackwell PG & Buck CE (2008) . BAYESIAN ANAL, 3(2), 225-248. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Blackwell PG & Buck CE (2008) . BAYESIAN ANAL, 3(2), 263-268. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Blackwell PG (2007) . ECOL MODEL, 207(2-4), 349-355. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Mumby PJ, Harborne AR, Williams J, Kappel CV, Brumbaugh DR, Micheli F, Holmes KE, Dahlgren CP, Paris CB & Blackwell PG (2007) . P NATL ACAD SCI USA, 104(20), 8362-8367. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Harborne AR, Mumby PJ, Zychaluk K, Hedley JD & Blackwell PG (2006) Modeling the beta diversity of coral reefs. ECOLOGY, 87(11), 2871-2881. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Mumby PJ, Hedley JD, Zychaluk K, Harborne AR & Blackwell PG (2006) . ECOL MODEL, 196(1-2), 131-148. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Reimer PJ, Baillie MGL, McCormac G, Reimer RW, Bard E, Beck JW, Blackwell PG, Buck CE, Burr GS, Edwards RL , Friedrich M et al (2006) . QUATERNARY SCI REV, 25(7-8), 855-862. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Blackwell PG, Buck CE & Reimer PJ (2006) . QUATERNARY SCI REV, 25(5-6), 408-413. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Kirkham J, Kaur R, Stillman EC, Blackwell PG, Elcock C & Brook AH (2005) . Arch Oral Biol, 50(2), 287-291. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Mumby PJ, Edwards AJ, Arias-Gonzalez JE, Lindeman KC, Blackwell PG, Gall A, Gorczynska MI, Harborne AR, Pescod CL, Renken H , Wabnitz CCC et al (2004) . NATURE, 427(6974), 533-536. RIS download Bibtex download
  • van der Plicht J, Beck JW, Bard E, Baillie MGL, Blackwell PG, Buck CE, Friedrich M, Guilderson TP, Hughen KA, Kromer B , McCormac FG et al (2004) NotCal04 - Comparison/calibration C-14 records 26-50 cal kyr BP. RADIOCARBON, 46(3), 1225-1238. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Buck CE & Blackwell PG (2004) Formal statistical models for estimating radiocarbon calibration curves. RADIOCARBON, 46(3), 1093-1102. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Reimer PJ, Baillie MGL, Bard E, Bayliss A, Beck JW, Bertrand CJH, Blackwell PG, Buck CE, Burr GS, Cutler KB , Damon PE et al (2004) IntCal04 terrestrial radiocarbon age calibration, 0-26 cal kyr BP. RADIOCARBON, 46(3), 1029-1058. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Hughen KA, Baillie MGL, Bard E, Beck JW, Bertrand CJH, Blackwell PG, Buck CE, Burr GS, Cutler KB, Damon PE , Edwards RL et al (2004) Marine04 marine radiocarbon age calibration, 0-26 cal kyr BP. RADIOCARBON, 46(3), 1059-1086. RIS download Bibtex download
  • McCormac FG, Hogg AG, Blackwell PG, Buck CE, Higham TFG & Reimer PJ (2004) SHCal04 Southern Hemisphere calibration, 0-11.0 cal kyr BP. RADIOCARBON, 46(3), 1087-1092. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Blackwell PG (2003) Bayesian inference for Markov processes with diffusion and discrete components. BIOMETRIKA, 90(3), 613-627. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Johnson D, Macdonald D, Kays R & Blackwell PG (2003) . TRENDS ECOL EVOL, 18(8), 381-382. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Blackwell PG & Buck CE (2003) The Late Glacial human reoccupation of north-western Europe: new approaches to space-time modelling. ANTIQUITY, 77(296), 232-240. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Blackwell PG & M酶ller J (2003) . Advances in Applied Probability, 35(01), 4-26. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Blackwell PG & Moller J (2003) Bayesian analysis of deformed tessellation models. ADV APPL PROBAB, 35(1), 4-26. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Johnson DDP, Kays R, Blackwell PG & Macdonald DW (2002) Does the resource dispersion hypothesis explain group living?. TRENDS ECOL EVOL, 17(12), 563-570. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Walters K & Blackwell PG (2002) . J Theor Biol, 217(2), 149-157. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Robinson DL, Blackwell PG, Stillman EC & Brook AH (2002) . Arch Oral Biol, 47(7), 545-554. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Campbell GS, Blackwell PG & Woodward FI (2002) Can landscape-scale characteristics be used to predict plant invasions along rivers?. J BIOGEOGR, 29(4), 535-543. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Hatchwell BJ, Anderson C, Ross DJ, Fowlie MK & Blackwell PG (2001) Social organization of cooperatively breeding long-tailed tits: kinship and spatial dynamics. J ANIM ECOL, 70(5), 820-830. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Blackwell PG (2001) . Biometrics, 57(2), 502-507. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Robinson DL, Blackwell PG, Stillman EC & Brook AH (2001) . Arch Oral Biol, 46(3), 191-199. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Blackwell PG & Macdonald DE (2000) Shapes and sizes of badger territories. OIKOS, 89(2), 392-398. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Robinson DL, Blackwell PG, Stillman EC & Brook AH (2000) Methods for describing and comparing variations in tooth shape. J DENT RES, 79(5), 1206-1206. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Settimi R & Blackwell PG (1998) Conditional simulation for moving average processes, with discrete or continuous values. STAT COMPUT, 8(2), 135-144. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Blackwell PG (1997) Random diffusion models for animal movement. ECOL MODEL, 100(1-3), 87-102. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Blackwell PG (1997) . J Theor Biol, 189(2), 175-181. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Kozerski L, Krajewski P, Pupek K, Blackwell PG & Williamson MP (1997) Towards stereochemical and conformational assignment in flexible molecules using NOEs and molecular modelling. J CHEM SOC PERK T 2(9), 1811-1818. RIS download Bibtex download
  • MANDER AP, BLACKWELL PG & CANNINGS C (1995) A RESOURCE-DRIVEN STRATEGY CONFLICT IN 2 DIMENSIONS. J THEOR BIOL, 177(1), 17-28. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Blackwell P (1994) . Statistics and Computing, 4(3), 213-218. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Blackwell P & Bacon PJ (1993) . Animal Behaviour, 46(4), 821-823. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Blackwell P (1992) . Journal of Applied Probability, 29(04), 814-824. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Blackwell P (1992) . Journal of Applied Probability, 29(4), 814-824. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Ball F & Blackwell P (1992) . Advances in Applied Probability, 24(01), 221-222. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Ball F & Blackwell P (1992) . Advances in Applied Probability, 24(1), 221-222. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Bacon PJ, Ball F & Blackwell P (1991) . Journal of Theoretical Biology, 148(4), 433-444. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Bacon PJ, Ball F & Blackwell P (1991) . Journal of Theoretical Biology, 148(4), 445-468. RIS download Bibtex download
  • BLACKWELL P (1990) . Mathematical Medicine and Biology, 7(4), 261-279. RIS download Bibtex download
  • BLACKWELL PG, RENNOLLS K & COUTTS MP (1990) . Forestry, 63(1), 73-91. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Rennolls K & Blackwell P (1988) . Forest Ecology and Management, 25(1), 31-58. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Rennolls K & Blackwell P (1986) An integrated forest process model: its calibration and its predictive performance.. Research & Development Paper - UK Forestry Commission, 148. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Blackwell P & Matthiopoulos J () Joint inference for telemetry and spatial survey data. Ecology. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Milner JE, Blackwell PG & Niu M () . Methods in Ecology and Evolution. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Hogg AG, Heaton TJ, Hua Q, Palmer JG, Turney CSM, Southon J, Bayliss A, Blackwell PG, Boswijk G, Bronk Ramsey C , Pearson C et al () . Radiocarbon, 1-20. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Heaton TJ, Blaauw M, Blackwell PG, Bronk Ramsey C, Reimer PJ & Scott EM () . Radiocarbon, 1-43. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Mumby PJ, Hock K, Condie SA, Ortiz JC, Wolff NH, Anthony KRN & Blackwell PG () . PLOS Biology, 16(8), e2007047-e2007047. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Wheatley JJ, Blackwell PG, Abram NJ, McConnell JR, Thomas ER & Wolff EW () . Climate of the Past Discussions, 8(4), 2477-2502. RIS download Bibtex download
  • KOZERSKI L, KRAJEWSKI P, PUPEK K, BLACKWELL PG & WILLIAMSON MP () . ChemInform, 28(51), no-no. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Blackwell P, Reimer PJ, Heaton T & (and 39 others) () The IntCal20 Northern Hemisphere radiocarbon age calibration curve (0-55 kcal BP). Radiocarbon. RIS download Bibtex download

Chapters

  • Spence M & Blackwell P (2014) , The Contribution of Young Researchers to Bayesian Statistics (pp. 35-39). Springer International Publishing RIS download Bibtex download
  • Wheatley JJ, Blackwell PG, Abram NJ & Wolff EW (2014) , The Contribution of Young Researchers to Bayesian Statistics (pp. 121-125). Springer International Publishing RIS download Bibtex download
  • Blackwell PG () John Wiley & Sons, Ltd RIS download Bibtex download
  • Blackwell PG () John Wiley & Sons, Ltd RIS download Bibtex download

Conference proceedings papers

  • Parton A, Blackwell PG & Skarin A (2017) . Bayesian Statistics in Action (pp 223-230) RIS download Bibtex download
  • Spence M & Blackwell P (2014) . Springer Proceedings in Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 63 (pp 35-39) RIS download Bibtex download
  • Campbell GS, Blackwell PG & Woodward FI (1998) Modelling the role played by aided migration in the dispersal of alien plant species. KEY CONCEPTS IN LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY (pp 320-320) RIS download Bibtex download
  • Anderson C, Blackwell PG & Cannings C (1997) Stochastic simulation of ants that forage by expectation. FOURTH EUROPEAN CONFERENCE ON ARTIFICIAL LIFE (pp 531-538) RIS download Bibtex download
  • Fletcher RP, Cannings C & Blackwell PG (1995) Modelling foraging behaviour of ant colonies.. ADVANCES IN ARTIFICIAL LIFE, Vol. 929 (pp 772-783) RIS download Bibtex download

Preprints

  • Winder LA, Parsons P, Horsburgh G, Maher K, Hipperson H, Wierzbicki C, Jeffries AR, Brown MR, Fairbrother-Browne A, Denise H , Khalifa MS et al (2022) , Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Spence MA, Thorpe RB, Blackwell PG, Scott F, Southwell R & Blanchard JL (2020) Quantifying uncertainty and dynamical changes in multi-species fishing mortality rates, catches and biomass by combining state-space and mechanistic multi-species models, arXiv. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Michelot T, Blackwell PG, Chamaill茅-Jammes S & Matthiopoulos J (2018) Inference in MCMC step selection models, arXiv. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Michelot T & Blackwell PG (2018) State-switching continuous-time correlated random walks, arXiv. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Pope CA, Gosling JP, Barber S, Johnson J, Yamaguchi T, Feingold G & Blackwell P (2018) Gaussian process modeling of heterogeneity and discontinuities using Voronoi tessellations, arXiv. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Spence MA, Blanchard JL, Rossberg AG, Heath MR, Heymans JJ, Mackinson S, Serpetti N, Speirs D, Thorpe RB & Blackwell PG (2017) Multi-model ensembles for ecosystem prediction, arXiv. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Michelot T, Blackwell PG & Matthiopoulos J (2017) Linking resource selection and step selection models for habitat preferences in animals, arXiv. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Parton A & Blackwell PG (2017) Bayesian inference for multistate `step and turn' animal movement in continuous time, arXiv. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Parton A, Blackwell PG & Skarin A (2016) Bayesian inference for continuous time animal movement based on steps and turns, arXiv. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Patterson TA, Parton A, Langrock R, Blackwell PG, Thomas L & King R (2016) Statistical modelling of individual animal movement: an overview of key methods and a discussion of practical challenges, arXiv. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Langrock R, Hopcraft JGC, Blackwell PG, Goodall V, King R, Niu M, Patterson TA, Pedersen MW, Skarin A & Schick RS (2013) Modelling group dynamic animal movement, arXiv. RIS download Bibtex download
Research group

Statistics

Grants

Past grants, as Principal Investigator

Daphne Jackson Fellowship DJ
Statistical Support for BAS Palaeoclimate Studies BAS
Ice Core Annual Layer Counting BAS

Past grants, as Coinvestigator

NERC
NERC
EPSRC
The future of the past: A robust framework for the upgrade and development of the international radiocarbon calibration/comparison curves (IntCal) NERC
NERC
NERC
NERC
NERC
NERC
Teaching activities
MAS115 Mathematical Investigation Skills