Gillespie, Duncan, Dr

Dr Duncan Gillespie

PhD

School of Medicine and Population Health

Senior Research Fellow

duncan.gillespie@sheffield.ac.uk
+44 114 222 4310

Regent Court (ScHARR)

Full contact details

Dr Duncan Gillespie
School of Medicine and Population Health
Regent Court (ScHARR)
30 Regent Street
��«Ӱҵ
S1 4DA

Profile: I aim to support decision-making to improve population health and reduce inequalities.
I'm interested in how population change results from changes in individuals' lives, and how inequalities in health and socio-economic situation are maintained during the process of population change. This research involves combining theory, qualitative, epidemiological and demographic data, and mathematical modelling to understand the link between individual and population change.

My research focuses on how to support decision makers to implement effective and equitable policy and interventions. This requires predicting their likely health, economic and wider societal effects, and thinking of new ways to present the outputs in terms of uncertainty-laden choices.

My current work in this area is mainly on tobacco and alcohol policy in the UK, where patterns of consumption are changing rapidly. I'm interested in opportunities to develop work in the area of cancer prevention, screening and improvement of outcomes. I'm also interested in developing this research in a global health context.

I am committed to developing open and reproducible code and software. I work primarily in the R environment. I am particularly interested in new ways to engineer mathematical modelling code to make it efficient, communicable and reusable across projects.

Keywords: Demography, ageing, public health modelling, epidemiology, inequality, health economics, population dynamics, R statistics, tobacco, alcohol and diet policy.

Publications

Show: Featured publications All publications

Featured publications

Journal articles

Wilson LB, Angus C, Brennan A, Gillespie D, Shortt NK, Tunstall H, Valiente R & Pearce J (2025) . Tobacco Control.
Morris D, Angus C, Gillespie D, Stevely A, Pryce R, Wilson L, Henney M, Meier P, Holmes J & Brennan A (2024) . The Lancet Public Health.
Morris D, Gillespie D, Dockrell MJ, Cook M, Horton M, Brown J & Langley TE (2024) . Tobacco Control.
Brennan A, Angus C, Pryce R, Buykx P, Henney M, Gillespie D, Holmes J & Meier PS (2022) . Addiction.
Opazo Breton M, Gillespie D, Pryce R, Bogdanovica I, Angus C, Hernandez Alava M, Brennan A & Britton J (2022) . Addiction, 117(5), 1392-1403.
Brennan A, Angus C, Pryce R, Buykx P, Henney M, Gillespie D, Holmes J & Meier PS (2021) . Public Health Research, 9(4).
Wilson LB, Pryce R, Angus C, Hiscock R, Brennan A & Gillespie D (2021) . The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care.
Gillespie D, Hatchard J, Squires H, Gilmore A & Brennan A (2021) . BMC Public Health, 21.
Wilson LB, Angus C, Pryce R, Holmes J, Brennan A & Gillespie D (2021) . Addiction.
Wilson LB, Pryce R, Hiscock R, Angus C, Brennan A & Gillespie D (2020) . Tobacco Control.
Yang F, Angus C, Duarte A, Gillespie D, Walker S & Griffin S (2020) . Medical Decision Making.
Angus C, Pryce R, Holmes J, de Vocht F, Hickman M, Meier P, Brennan A & Gillespie D (2020) . Addiction.
Langley T, Gillespie D, Lewis S, Eminson K, Brennan A, Docherty G & Young B (2020) . Journal of Public Health.
Pryce R, Angus C, Holmes J, Gillespie D, Buykx P, Meier P, Hickman M, de Vocht F & Brennan A (2020) . Population Health Metrics, 18(1).
Angus C, Brown J, Beard E, Gillespie D, Buykx P, Kaner E, Michie S & Meier P (2019) . BMJ Open, 9(4).
Sadler S, Angus C, Gavens L, Gillespie D, Holmes J, Hamilton J, Brennan A & Meier P (2017) . Addiction, 112(5), 808-817.
Holmes J, Brown J, West R, Beard E, Brennan A, Drummond C, Gillespie D, Hickman M, Holmes J, Kaner E & Michie S (2016) . BMC Public Health, 16:535.
Allen K, Gillespie DOS, Guzman-Castillo M, Diggle PJ, Capewell S & O'Flaherty M (2016) . International Journal of Cardiology, 203, 290-297.
McGill R, Anwar E, Orton L, Bromley H, Lloyd-Williams F, O’Flaherty M, Taylor-Robinson D, Guzman-Castillo M, Gillespie D, Moreira P , Allen K et al (2015) . BMC Public Health, 15(1).
Bandosz P, O'Flaherty M, Rutkowski M, Kypridemos C, Guzman-Castillo M, Gillespie DOS, Solnica B, Pencina MJ, Wyrzykowski B, Capewell S & Zdrojewski T (2015) . International Journal of Cardiology, 185, 313-319.
Gillespie DOS, Allen K, Guzman-Castillo M, Bandosz P, Moreira P, McGill R, Anwar E, Lloyd-Williams F, Bromley H, Diggle PJ , Capewell S et al (2015) . PLoS ONE, 10(7).
Gillespie DOS, Coulson TN & Tuljapurkar SD (2014) . Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 68(Suppl 1), A55.2-A56.
Guzman Castillo M, Gillespie DOS, Allen K, Bandosz P, Schmid V, Capewell S & O'Flaherty M (2014) . PloS one, 9(6), e99482.
Gillespie DOS, Trotter MV & Tuljapurkar SD (2014) . Demography, 51(3), 1003-1017.
Hatchard J, Buykx P, Brennan A & Gillespie D () . NIHR Open Research, 3, 26-26.

Conference proceedings papers

Tian D, Squires H, Buckley C, Gillespie D, Tattan-Birch H, Shahab L, West R, Brennan A, Brown J & Purshouse R (2025) . 2024 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC) (pp 252-263). Orlando, Florida, 15 December 2024 - 15 December 2024.
Hatchard J, Gillespie D & Buykx P (2019) Using Framework Analysis Deductively: A case study from alcohol and tobacco tax policy and modelling research. Myths, Methods and Messiness: Insights for Qualitative Research Analysis: Edited Proceedings of the 5th Annual Qualitative Research Symposium' (pp 30-39). https://researchportal.bath.ac.uk/en/publications/myths-methods-and-messiness-insights-for-qualitati, 30 January 2019.

Preprints

Wambiya EOA, Oguta JO, Akparibo R, Gillespie D, Otieno P, Akoth C, Kamano J, Kibe P, Kisaka Y, Onyango E , Gathecha G et al (2024) , Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory.

All publications

Journal articles

Wilson LB, Angus C, Brennan A, Gillespie D, Shortt NK, Tunstall H, Valiente R & Pearce J (2025) . Tobacco Control.
Wambiya EOA, Gillespie D, Akparibo R, Oguta J, Akoth C, Otieno P & Dodd P (2024) . Value in Health, 27(12), S167-S167.
Morris D, Angus C, Gillespie D, Stevely A, Pryce R, Wilson L, Henney M, Meier P, Holmes J & Brennan A (2024) . The Lancet Public Health.
Morris D, Gillespie D, Dockrell MJ, Cook M, Horton M, Brown J & Langley TE (2024) . Tobacco Control.
Woodrow N, Gillespie D, Kitchin L, O'Brien M, Chapman S, Chng NR, Passey A, Aquino MRJ, Clarke Z & Goyder E (2024) . BMC Public Health, 24.
Pryce R, Wilson LB, Gillespie D, Angus C, Morris D & Brennan A (2023) . Drug and Alcohol Review.
Hatchard J, Buykx P, Wilson L, Brennan A & Gillespie D (2023) . International Journal of Drug Policy, 122, 104247-104247.
Brennan A, Angus C, Pryce R, Buykx P, Henney M, Gillespie D, Holmes J & Meier PS (2022) . Addiction.
Opazo Breton M, Gillespie D, Pryce R, Bogdanovica I, Angus C, Hernandez Alava M, Brennan A & Britton J (2022) . Addiction, 117(5), 1392-1403.
Brennan A, Angus C, Pryce R, Buykx P, Henney M, Gillespie D, Holmes J & Meier PS (2021) . Public Health Research, 9(4).
Wilson LB, Pryce R, Angus C, Hiscock R, Brennan A & Gillespie D (2021) . The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care.
Horton M, Perman-Howe P, Angus C, Bishop J, Bogdanovica I, Brennan A, Britton J, Brose L, Brown J, Collin J , Dockrell M et al (2021) .
Gillespie D, Hatchard J, Squires H, Gilmore A & Brennan A (2021) . BMC Public Health, 21.
Wilson LB, Angus C, Pryce R, Holmes J, Brennan A & Gillespie D (2021) . Addiction.
Wilson LB, Pryce R, Hiscock R, Angus C, Brennan A & Gillespie D (2020) . Tobacco Control.
Yang F, Angus C, Duarte A, Gillespie D, Walker S & Griffin S (2020) . Medical Decision Making.
Angus C, Pryce R, Holmes J, de Vocht F, Hickman M, Meier P, Brennan A & Gillespie D (2020) . Addiction.
Langley T, Gillespie D, Lewis S, Eminson K, Brennan A, Docherty G & Young B (2020) . Journal of Public Health.
Pryce R, Angus C, Holmes J, Gillespie D, Buykx P, Meier P, Hickman M, de Vocht F & Brennan A (2020) . Population Health Metrics, 18(1).
Yang F, Duarte A, Walker S, Angus C, Gillespie D & Griffin S (2019) . Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health, 73(Suppl 1).
Angus C, Gillespie D, Yang F, Duarte A, Walker S & Griffin S (2019) . Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health, 73(Suppl 1).
Eminson K, Gillespie D, Lewis S, Opazo-Breton M, Bogdanovica I, Brennan A, Britton J, Wu Q, Meier P, Holmes J & Langley T (2019) . Oral Presentations.
Angus C, Brown J, Beard E, Gillespie D, Buykx P, Kaner E, Michie S & Meier P (2019) . BMJ Open, 9(4).
Sadler S, Angus C, Gavens L, Gillespie D, Holmes J, Hamilton J, Brennan A & Meier P (2017) . Addiction, 112(5), 808-817.
Holmes J, Brown J, West R, Beard E, Brennan A, Drummond C, Gillespie D, Hickman M, Holmes J, Kaner E & Michie S (2016) . BMC Public Health, 16:535.
Allen K, Gillespie DOS, Guzman-Castillo M, Diggle PJ, Capewell S & O'Flaherty M (2016) . International Journal of Cardiology, 203, 290-297.
McGill R, Anwar E, Orton L, Bromley H, Lloyd-Williams F, O’Flaherty M, Taylor-Robinson D, Guzman-Castillo M, Gillespie D, Moreira P , Allen K et al (2015) . BMC Public Health, 15(1).
Bandosz P, O'Flaherty M, Rutkowski M, Kypridemos C, Guzman-Castillo M, Gillespie DOS, Solnica B, Pencina MJ, Wyrzykowski B, Capewell S & Zdrojewski T (2015) . International Journal of Cardiology, 185, 313-319.
Gillespie DOS, Allen K, Guzman-Castillo M, Bandosz P, Moreira P, McGill R, Anwar E, Lloyd-Williams F, Bromley H, Diggle PJ , Capewell S et al (2015) . PLoS ONE, 10(7).
Bandosz P, O’Flaherty M, Capewell S, Rutkowski M, Kypridemos C, Guzman-Castillo M, Gillespie D, Moreira P & Zdrojewski T (2014) . Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 68(Suppl 1), A49.1-A49.
Guzman Castillo M, O’Flaherty M, Couch P, Sperrin M, Lloyd S, Soiland-Reyes C, Green B, Kypridemos C, Gillespie DOS, Allen A , Buchan I et al (2014) . Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 68(Suppl 1), A35.2-A36.
Gillespie DOS, Coulson TN & Tuljapurkar SD (2014) . Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 68(Suppl 1), A55.2-A56.
Gillespie DOS, Allen K, Guzman-Castillo M, Bandosz P, Moreira P, McGill R, Lloyd-Williams F, Bromley H, Diggle P, O’Flaherty M & Capewell S (2014) . Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 68(Suppl 1), A53.1-A53.
Guzman Castillo M, Gillespie DOS, Allen K, Bandosz P, Schmid V, Capewell S & O'Flaherty M (2014) . PloS one, 9(6), e99482.
Gillespie DOS, Trotter MV & Tuljapurkar SD (2014) . Demography, 51(3), 1003-1017.
Guzman Castillo M, Gillespie D, Allen K, Bandosz P, Schmid V, Capewell S & O'Flaherty M (2014) . Circulation, 129(suppl_1).
Gillespie DOS, Trotter MV, Krishna-Kumar S & Tuljapurkar SD (2014) . Evolution, 68(3), 886-892.
Gillespie DOS, Russell AF & Lummaa V (2013) . Evolution, 67(7), 1964-1974.
Lahdenperä M, Gillespie DOS, Lummaa V & Russell AF (2012) . Ecology Letters, 15(11), 1283-1290.
Nakagawa S, Ockendon N, Gillespie DOS, Hatchwell BJ & Burke T (2011) . Behavioral Ecology, 22(2), 445-446.
CLEASBY IR, NAKAGAWA S, GILLESPIE DOS & BURKE T (2010) . Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 101(3), 680-688.
Gillespie DOS, Lahdenperä M, Russell AF & Lummaa V (2010) . The American Naturalist, 176(2), 159-169.
Gillespie DOS, Russell AF & Lummaa V (2008) . Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 275(1635), 713-722.
NAKAGAWA S, GILLESPIE DOS, HATCHWELL BJ & BURKE T (2007) . Journal of Evolutionary Biology, 20(5), 1674-1681.
Nakagawa S, Ockendon N, Gillespie DOS, Hatchwell BJ & Burke T (2007) . Oecologia, 153(3), 749-760.
Valiente R, Tunstall H, Kong AY, Wilson LB, Gillespie D, Angus C, Brennan A, Shortt NK & Pearce J () . Tobacco Control.
Hatchard J, Buykx P, Brennan A & Gillespie D () . NIHR Open Research, 3, 26-26.
Hock ES, Franklin M, Baxter S, Clowes M, Chilcott J & Gillespie D () . NIHR Open Research, 3, 28-28.
Hatchard J, Buykx P, Brennan A & Gillespie D () . NIHR Open Research, 3, 26-26.
Hatchard J, Buykx P, Brennan A & Gillespie D () . NIHR Open Research, 3, 26-26.
Valiente R, Tunstall H, Kong A, Wilson L, Gillespie D, Angus C, Brennan A, Shortt N & Pearce J () . Tobacco Prevention & Cessation, 9(Supplement).
Buykx P & Hatchard J () .

Conference proceedings papers

Tian D, Squires H, Buckley C, Gillespie D, Tattan-Birch H, Shahab L, West R, Brennan A, Brown J & Purshouse R (2025) . 2024 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC) (pp 252-263). Orlando, Florida, 15 December 2024 - 15 December 2024.
Holmes J, Beard E, Brennan A, Brown J, Gillespie D, Meier PS, Michie S, Stevely AK, Webster L & Buykx P (2019) . The Lancet, Vol. 394 (pp S54-S54). London, UK, 29 November 2019 - 29 November 2019.
Hatchard J, Buykx P, Brennan A & Gillespie D (2019) . The Lancet, Vol. 394 (pp S51-S51)
Hatchard J, Gillespie D & Buykx P (2019) Using Framework Analysis Deductively: A case study from alcohol and tobacco tax policy and modelling research. Myths, Methods and Messiness: Insights for Qualitative Research Analysis: Edited Proceedings of the 5th Annual Qualitative Research Symposium' (pp 30-39). https://researchportal.bath.ac.uk/en/publications/myths-methods-and-messiness-insights-for-qualitati, 30 January 2019.

Reports

Webster L, Angus C, Brennan A & Gillespie D (2018)
Brennan A, Buykx P, Pryce RE, Jones A, Hill-McManus D, Stone T, Ally A, Gillespie D, Meier P, Alston R , Cairns D et al (2016) An Evidence-Based Model for Estimating Requirements for Specialist Alcohol Treatment Capacity in England The Specialist Treatment for Alcohol Model (STreAM) Version 1.0
Webster L, Angus C, Holmes J, Brennan A & Gillespie D ()
Webster L, Angus C, Brennan A & Gillespie D ()
Angus C, Henney M, Webster L & Gillespie D ()

Posters

Sadler S, Angus C, Gell L, Gillespie D, Holmes J, Brennan A & Meier P Comparing socioeconomic gradients in alcohol-related harm between the four UK countries (PHE Applied Epidemiology Scientific Meeting 18-19 March 2015).

Datasets

Gillespie D, Hatchard J, Squires H, Gilmore A & Brennan A .

Other

Gillespie D, Webster L & Brennan A () .

Preprints

Wambiya EOA, Oguta JO, Akparibo R, Gillespie D, Otieno P, Akoth C, Kamano J, Kibe P, Kisaka Y, Onyango E , Gathecha G et al (2024) , Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory.
Wambiya EOA, Gillespie D, Akparibo R, Oguta JO, Akoth C, Otieno P & Dodd PJ (2024) , Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory.
Cherodian R, Franklin M, Baxter S, Chilcott J & Gillespie D (2024) , Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory.
Hock ES, Franklin M, Baxter S, Clowes M, Chilcott J & Gillespie D (2023) .
Hock ES, Franklin M, Baxter S, Clowes M, Chilcott J & Gillespie D (2023) , Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory.
Gillespie DOS, Trotter MV & Tuljapurkar SD (2013) Divergence in age-patterns of mortality change drives international divergence in lifespan inequality, arXiv.

Research group

I currently work mainly with the ��«Ӱҵ Alcohol Research Group and the to develop the health and economic modelling of the effects of tobacco and alcohol policies and interventions.

Main current research themes

Alcohol, tobacco and e-cigarette pricing policy
-
-

Stop smoking service evaluations
-
-

Professional activities and memberships

University of ��«Ӱҵ representative (with Dr Emma Hock) on ��«Ӱҵ City Council's Tobacco Control Board
Deputy editor for the journal